The madness to my method

written by Katrina on March 19, 2009 · 14 comments

and filed under Fun

March Madness is upon us. Of course, you already know this if you keep up with college basketball. I don’t. But what tips me off is that yesterday, I received my annual invitation to participate in an online “Tournament Challenge” arranged by a friend of ours. I look forward to this challenge every year because it gives me a chance to engage in a little friendly competition where I have a chance to do well, even though I have absolutely no right to. The process is simple: Log on to the web-site, predict who will win each game and fill out your brackets accordingly, then sit back and watch what happens.

Here is how a true NCAA fan might go about completing his brackets:

  1. Research - the first step begins long before March. The key here is to watch as many NCAA regular-season games as possible. Note the strengths and weaknesses of each team, the coaching style, any lingering injuries that might hamper tournament advancement, how each team plays on the road vs. at home, etc.
  2. Expert opinion - carefully study articles and blogs written by those who have watched more games than you have, and who know basketball inside and out. Observe their thoughts on potential upsets. Listen for any inside information they might have stumbled across, such as a conflict that might tear apart a high-seeded team.
  3. Historical trends - keep in mind that 14 of the last 16 NCAA champions were either a 1- or 2-seed. The lowest seed to ever make it to the Final Four was a #11. Use these and other historical facts to make your winning predictions.

I’m sure there are more tips, but those three pretty much exhausted the little basketball knowledge I’ve retained from my college days when I actually watched college basketball games. Now let me tell you the principles I use in filling out my brackets. Feel free to use them yourself:

  1. Know what a “seed number” means. The smaller the number, the better-ranked the team. So, pick mostly the better-seeded team in the first round.
  2. Have fun with upsets. Of course, the better team can’t always win - that wouldn’t be fair. So pick a few underdogs in your first round as well. Pick these however you’d like. Perhaps you like the sound of “Winthrop” better than “Tennessee” - go for it. Or maybe your cousin went to Texas A&M and you feel they should beat Syracuse just on principle. Pencil them in for a win.
  3. Once we enter the second round, the process becomes a little more esoteric. From here on, primarily go with your gut feeling, which is based on (among other things):
    • The sound of the school’s name
    • The school’s proximity to areas of the country you enjoy visiting
    • Whether someone you didn’t really get along with went to that school
  4. Keep in mind Murphy’s Law. Not everything can go your way, so occasionally, if you feel a strong pull to pick one school, choose the other. Just because.
  5. When in doubt, flip a coin.
  6. Make sure the team you choose to win the whole thing has a name you like. Or possibly uniform colors you like (difficult for me, since I don’t watch the games and have no idea what colors their uniforms are).

Simple, no? The best thing is, I did very well last year - out-lasting several more seasoned basketball fans. I’m not sure if they were very amused, considering that they don’t think I take this challenge “seriously.”

Oh, but I do. I put a lot of thought and work into filling in my brackets. And I don’t let anything muddy the water. Just last weekend, my husband flipped to ESPN during a game and I had to leave the room. He asked if I didn’t want to stay and watch, so I could be more informed before the tournament. But I patiently explained that watching a game would interfere with my process. What if the coach irritated me, but I like the region where the school is located? What if the team looked awesome, but my high school nemesis attended that school? Nope. I couldn’t let silly things like performance wreck my carefully constructed bracket-filling techniques.

Crazy, you say? Well, it’s not called March Madness for nothing. I figure someone’s got to uphold the “madness” end of things.

This post was one of the first I ever wrote, originally published on March 14, 2006. I’m re-running it today, in honor of the fact that I just filled out my brackets yesterday, using my time-honored method, of course. Let the madness begin!

{ 14 comments… read them below or add one }

1 joelene March 19, 2009 at 12:07 am

My bracket has been filled out since Tuesday. It is a time-honored tradition in our house for everyone to fill one out and then sit back and watch how things go. My husband diligently watches ESPN so I always feel like he has an advantage and am always surprised when I can stay in just as long as him. Madness it is.

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2 Reverend Ref March 19, 2009 at 12:13 am

At least picking the winning team in football is so much easier …… it’s all based on uniform style.

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3 Jennifer, Snapshot March 19, 2009 at 7:22 am

I hope that taking those important loyalty things into consideration that you have Texas A&M advancing!

Terry just left to head up to Philly to watch the game.

Gig ‘em Ags!

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4 Jessica March 19, 2009 at 8:50 am

I filled out my bracket on Wednesday. Jared just doesn’t understand what a bracket is. He’ll probably make one soon.

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5 Mike R March 19, 2009 at 9:24 am

Nice post. I think your method works as well, if not, better than mine. I try to watch games and determine who is actually better than the other team. That strategy doesn’t work. Kentucky didn’t make the NCAA tournament this year, so I won’t be as biased as in years past. I won’t push them through on hopes that they are some how better than they actually are.

Good Luck.

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6 Christy March 19, 2009 at 9:26 am

I was just making a visit from Kristen’s blog. I am going to be a part of the Spring Reading Thing… I love this idea! I am going to start my list of books and also be thinking about my goals. Thanks for doing this!

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7 Ginny Marie March 19, 2009 at 11:15 am

I love the way you fill your brackets! I might give it a try myself this year…well, then again, maybe not!

I found your blog on the Scholastic Mom Blog award page. You have a great blog!

Ginny Marie’s most recent post..Book Nook: Mouse Books

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8 Lindsay @ bytesofmemory March 19, 2009 at 11:24 am

hehe to funny. I hope you do well!

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9 Dianne March 19, 2009 at 11:40 am

I thought this sounded familiar! It sounds pretty much like my method . . . only I do watch the games once the tournament begins (or try to anyways). No matter how you pick, it’s fun.

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10 Nancy March 19, 2009 at 2:06 pm

I love your method, especially since it’s mine! I was totally nodding my head in agreement at your criteria. It’s the only way to pick! Not that I ever do very well when I do participate in brackets.

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11 Lori Z. March 19, 2009 at 4:58 pm

I always end up picking based on things I like, Ohio State for example, has a good linguistics team, so I usually try to pick them. I’ve never liked anything in Texas because the color of it on the map always bothered me in my sixth grade class…these are the deciding factors in upset choices and last year I took third place in a pool of four hundred!

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12 Jen March 19, 2009 at 9:58 pm

This cracked me up, because this is EXACTLY my method!!! :) I’m already 10 of 11, so not bad!!! My husband usually does some research, but he filled out several brackets this year and did one on total coin toss. Wonder how he’ll do with that one???????

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13 jenni March 21, 2009 at 2:42 am

Don’t forget what my husband calls “hugability of the mascot”. Would never hug a tar heel, whatever it is. Never.

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14 Ali March 22, 2009 at 3:32 pm

I’m so glad you reposted this, I love it! I’ve picked my teams using your method in years past–though this year, I missed my moment.

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